![]() Senate up for reelection and 36 states holding gubernatorial contests, there’s a lot to keep track of. ![]() Democrats may be able to hold onto the Senate thanks to a favorable landscape, though the size of the likely Republican “wave” will make a lot of difference up and down the ballot. The odds are high that Republicans will take the House and make some state-level gains. Typically the president’s party loses ground in midterms, particularly if he’s as unpopular as Joe Biden and the economy is troubled. Senate and House, along with the balance of power in many states holding legislative and gubernatorial contests. The 2022 midterms will determine whether Democrats retain or lose their fragile control over the U.S. She has a master’s in public policy from Carnegie Mellon and a degree in political science from the University of Maryland.The primaries are now in full swing, with 17 states holding elections this month to nominate candidates for November. Ruth is an active member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research and serves on its Transparency Initiative committee, which encourages more-transparent research methodologies. She has also assessed the different likely voter models that pollsters use to predict election turnout. She co-created Pew’s validated voter survey, which used commercial voter files to provide a detailed portrait of who actually voted during each of the past three presidential election cycles. ![]() Ruth is also deeply knowledgeable about working with voter files and likely voter models, two key parts of our polls. Her work there included polling on social and demographic trends shaping the country, such as gender and gender roles at the workplace and at home, community type differences, parenting and generational change. Ruth comes to us from the Pew Research Center, where she was a senior researcher. Ruth Igielnik joined the team last week as staff editor for news surveys. This work will also bolster The Times’s ability to call races when necessary. ![]() The Elections Data Analytics team will be joined by Nate Cohn, our chief political analyst, and other members of The Upshot to initially focus on two of the biggest hallmarks of our elections coverage: our public opinion surveys and the statistical models that power the Needle. As we head into the midterms and look toward the 2024 presidential election, we must expand our ability to quickly understand, analyze and explain the election - particularly at this moment, when the credibility of election results reporting, data and analysis is more important than ever before. But we want to continue to innovate in this area. The Times has become the pre-eminent destination on election nights for tens of millions of Americans who turn to us for the latest election results and for clear statistical analysis that demonstrates how the races are actually playing out. This group is part of our ambitious plan to expand the breadth and depth of our data journalism, which has already become a signature part of our report. I am excited to introduce the first members of the newsroom’s Election Data Analytics team, a new group tasked with expanding election-related analytical journalism.
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